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Betting LSU to win SEC West

Friday, September 19th, 2008

For over ten years, LSU has won the SEC West Championship on every odd-numbered year. The problem with that statistic is that 2008 is an even year, so statistically; they should lose this year and win the 2009 SEC West. But there is an old saying my pops told me; “Statistics lie and liars use statistics”.

So let’s look at this team and their real odds of winning, based on what this team can do, and not some handicapper superstition, which could actually work in our favor since this kind of statistic can unfairly push odds in the wrong direction.

They have a strong team, but they have heavy reliance on home field advantage. When that advantage is not present, historically, they fail. And at no time will this be put to the test in a more evident manner then this Saturday’s LSU vs Auburn game. The odds are in your favor, to be the underdog, with Auburn having a +2.5 point spread.

While LSU has a much better running offense then in 2005 when they lost to Auburn at home. But Auburn has a great defense, having held its opponents to a mere 53 rushing yards per game. I mean, in 2005 Auburn kicker John Vaughn missed five field goals, something LSU cannot expect to happen again.

Anyway, this dainty little handicapper has her money on Auburn, GO TIGERS! Grrrrrwwwrrrr