Monday Night Football, Should I be betting the Cowboys or the Eagles?

September 15th, 2008

Even as the DOW crashed over 500 points today, there is more money being bet on college football this season than ever before. Today’s Monday night football match up between the Cowboys and the Eagles is living proof that gambling is a truly recession proof activity.

Handicapping predictions range from suggestions of betting the Cowboys to betting the Eagles. No-one seems to agree on who will win, and who can blame ‘em? Even though the eagles are a slight favorite with a +6.5 line, this is an extremely well matched game which can turn either way. So let’s see why:

A- Unreliable Quarterback
While many may consider Tony Romo one of the top QB in the NFC, he is highly unreliable, as his stats prove. The Cowboys with Tony as their starter have a measly 1-3 vs. Philadelphia. His combined numbers in the last 2 games are equally pathetic with Completion % of 40, passer rating in the 30s and only 13 points produced. When he is good, he’s good, but when he’s bad, he’s even better!

B- Good Rookies, But not Tested Yet
There are two star players that both the Eagles and the Cowboys are largely depending on; Jackson DeSean and Jones Felix. While they have proved to be highly skilled players, they have yet to come under the pressure of a large Monday night game.

C- As if it wasn’t enough, further Unreliability
The Eagles have one of the most underrated running backs in the entire NFL; Brian Westbrook. The only time he actually deserves this underrating, is when he plays against the Cowboys. For some reason, he locks up when playing against this team.

All in all, I’ll take the underdog and will betting Cowboys tonight, but I must admit it is among the more risky gambles I’ll be making this season.

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Is it Football Passion, or Betting Passion?

September 15th, 2008

Passion is a defining human feeling, and in few places can this be witnessed in more purity then in a group of people betting on football.

Passion is the driving force that has helped accomplish almost every major milestone through the evolution of human society. However, passion in modern life has run a historical low. Most people have achieved a level of stability and efficiency that has all but vanished most of the excitement and passion in life.

In the past, humans would have to struggle to survive everyday life. This created for passionate lifestyles, since each day held an uncertain fate. In modern life, this is not the case. Apart from the passion of child rearing and romantic relationships, your average modern person lives a life define by routine.

Of course, people can’t live without passion, and hobbies have had a tendency to become a central part to a person’s identity. Football, both college and pro, have become the focus of passion for millions of Americans. Over 40% of football fans regularly bet over $100 per season.

This has created a multibillion dollar industry, with suppliers ranging from licensed, publically traded Vegas books to petty street corner bookies. So, what is it that drives these fans? Is it the football, or the betting that really provides the “rush” they feel. While the answer probably lies on a middle ground between these two, it is worth going over each side of the coin.

College betting has boomed during the 20th century, but it has only been riding the tail of the boom in popularity of college sports. So while betting has become exponentially more popular and socially accepted, this has only been a consequence of another boom.

However, could betting boom help fuel the popularity of college sports? I believe so. In a recent survey, people who are college betting fans, on average view over 1,000% more games than non-betting fans. This is so much so, that people who gamble watch up to 19 games per week, as opposed to non-gamblers who view up to 9.

So it is safe to say that the passion for college betting has been fuelled by the passion for college sports, the opposite is also true. A paradigm; just like life.

Want to learn how to bet succesfully on the underdog, then view this post.

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Betting USC, a Good Idea?

September 15th, 2008

That was the exact title of a letter sent to me by a fan. And after USC’s Saturday big win, I know many of us are asking the same questions. So let’s go over this and see why this particular handicapper doesn’t believe in betting the USC on a straight, although betting on them being the BCS Bowl Champions would be wise.

USC’s crushing victory on Ohio State this Saturday had many college betting fans reaping some juicy rewards. But this wasn’t exactly a surprise. In the last 6 games where USC and Ohio State go head to head, USC has won every time. What’s more, they have won 39 out of 40 of their last home games. This is understandable considering their talented and well organized team and the 90,000+ strong crowd that was roaring for them.

But there was something more this Saturday which really helped make the day for all those USC Trojan betting fans. Ohio was down their star tailback, Chris Wells (AKA Beanie). And although this didn’t hurt them that much, a few critical mistakes were made; Todd Boeckman had an errant throw which was intercepted and ended in a Trojans’ touchdown by Rey Maualuga. An Ohio touchdown was also nullified by a holding penalty.

So you must be asking, “why the hell this broad is telling me not to take a straight bet on USC on their next game?”. The answer is simple, female intuition if you will. These boys have had it easy, and have succeeded so far. But this has built their ego and their team has some young, green players, which are especially prone to falling for the ego effect of being a college football champion. I do believe they have a good chance of being the national champion. But with the amount of betting that will be placed on USC, if you are taking a straight, be careful with the lines. There is likely to be an upset around the corner for this team before they shape up and be the champions they can be.

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    Betting College Football Underdogs

    September 13th, 2008

    When betting on College Football Underdogs, there are many great opportunities which can prove very profitable. Some of the best lines I have found have been on underdogs, and this is especially true with College betting. So let’s go over some of the reasons this is so:

    1- Big Blow Outs
    In college betting, unlike with NFL, teams regularly blow each other away. This creates a situation where bookmakers often have to place outrageous lines which can provide a pretty safe bet since outrageous lines are rarely covered. In the NFL, large leads often fade, since the coaches won’t risk their star players getting injured, and underdogs often over in the latter parts of a game.

    2- Underdogs are Underestimated
    No one believes in the underdog. Not the public, bookies or anyone, which can lead to unfair spreads. What’s even more important; the favorite often doesn’t take the underdog seriously. This is why it is so important to research historical trends. Finding an underestimated underdog can provide you with a great bang for your betting dollar.

    3- People won’t dare to bet on the Underdog
    The best lines are always found where the least amount of people are looking. This is especially true when you bet the underdog. So many people won’t take the underdog, simply because they feel the underdog is an inferior team. The fact that the spread is many times against the favorite does not face them. Remember, by boldly going where other men don’t, fortunes have been made.

    4- Fans can Move a Line in Your Favor
    Remember, especially with College Football, most betting fans bet with their heart, not their brain. In some cases, this can heavily influence the lines when bookies try to balance the money they have on each side. Shop around when there is a game between a popular college and a small one. I have made good money on this.

    If you have any questions or suggestions, be sure to leave a comment!

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      NCAA Division I FBS National Football Championship

      September 13th, 2008

      During the 19th century and beginning of the 20th, no one was betting on football, in fact it wasn’t even a very popular sport in the day. Furthermore, it was very hard to hold national championship playoffs due to the inherent difficulties of travel at the time. So during the ‘20s, Dr. Frank Dickingson created a mathematical system to rank college teams on a national level. This concept was greeted with great acceptance and was the seed to all the modern college football championships we see today.

      The first national football champion was Sanford for the national championship of 1926. This prompted the head coach of Notre Dame University (now one of the decision makers in Betting the Bowl Championship Series) to request he Mr. Dickingson backdate his system two seasons, which made Notre Dame the 1924 national football champion.

      Latter other mathematical systems were used to determine national champions, but this changed in 1936 when the Associated Press made the first sports poll to determine the national football champion. Minnesota was their champion for the 1936 series. The AP poll to determine the national college football champion was the most popular of its time and remained until the ‘50s.

      The United Press latter published their own poll, which has coincided and disagreed with the AP’s poll on and off during 5-10 year periods. The two polls merged and latter were purchased by CNN and USA Today. The modern versions of determining the national champion is a mixture of mathematics and polling, with different aspects constantly being modified.

      The concept of national championships was one that helped impulse football to the current popularity it enjoys today. This same concept is what has also popularized college football betting, especially championships like the BCS-Bowl.

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      BCS-Bowl Championship – College Football Betting

      September 13th, 2008

      College Bettting has exploded and gamblers are constantly looking for new means to find value for their money. One way a lot of bettors have found this is by going beyond the NFL games and finding the potential of college games which tend to have the odds swayed more by fans then by profesional football betting experts.

      The Bowl Championship Series or BCS is an arrangement between ten teams for 5 games during post-season college football. The purpose of the Bolw Championship Series is to match the best teams in a nacional championship game. The BCS has gained much prestige and millions of dollars are now on the line for people betting the Bowl Championship Series.

      The Bowl Championship Series is under the coordination of the head of athletics for Notre Dame University, representatives of the different bowl organizations and the commissioners of the 11 NCAA I-A. This is very important to keep in mind when betting on the Bowl Championship Series.

      One big positive this championsip provides is to allow teams and betting fans to engage competitively during the post-season. And this has been succesfull if only judging by the amount of emotions and money poured into these games.

      The conferences that participate in the BCS Championship are: FedEx Orange Bowl, Tostitos Fiesta Bowl, Allstate Sugar Bowl, and the Rose Bowl. All this culminates with the BCS National Championship Game. FOX sports has been broadcasting the bowl, but that will soon change when ABC takes over the broadcasting of the events.

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